BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Forest City

Class: 3A Class Rank: 20 Conference: (14-0) Overall: (21-4) Overall Strength =   81.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2009 Home    L    76.18  66   75   4A   33 ( 4-17) Mason City             -5.93     -3.07                      
  2 12/04/2009 Home    W    80.03  72   56   2A   73 ( 6-17) Estherville LC         -2.07     18.07                      
  3 12/05/2009 Away    W    85.26  49   39   3A   35 (10-12) Webster City            3.15      6.85                      
  4 12/11/2009 Home    W * 114.94  89   31   2A   94 ( 8-14) Belmond-Klemme         32.83 *   25.17                      
  5 12/15/2009 Away    W *  71.69  72   71   1A   26 (12- 9) North Iowa            -10.41     11.41                      
  6 12/18/2009 Home    W *  84.18  92   59   2A  115 ( 3-17) Osage                   2.08 *   30.92                      
  7 12/21/2009 Home    W *  97.64  75   52   2A   35 (16- 5) Lake Mills             15.53      7.47  was 12/08 now 12/21 
  8 01/05/2010 Away    W * 102.51  67   37   2A   52 (14-10) Garner-Hayfield        20.40      9.60                      
  9 01/09/2010 Home    W    87.97  78   54   3A   53 ( 5-17) Clear Lake              5.87     18.13                      
 10 01/12/2010 Away    W    80.96  71   56   3A   55 ( 5-15) Cresco Crestwood       -1.14     16.14                      
 11 01/15/2010 Away    W *  80.29  66   44   2A  109 ( 9-14) Britt West Hancock     -1.82     23.82                      
 12 01/16/2010 Away    L    79.33  65   74   3A   15 (21- 2) Charles City           -2.77     -6.23                      
 13 01/18/2010 Home    W *  85.86  78   56   1A   40 (15- 9) Mason City Newman       3.76     18.24  was 01/08 now 01/18 
 14 01/19/2010 Away    W *  83.53  57   51   2A   35 (16- 5) Lake Mills              1.42      4.58                      
 15 01/22/2010 Away    W *  75.83  69   53   2A   94 ( 8-14) Belmond-Klemme         -6.28     22.28                      
 16 01/23/2010 Away    L    54.54  47   72   3A   26 (16- 7) Algona                -27.56      2.56                      
 17 01/29/2010 Away    W *  80.07  65   39   2A  115 ( 3-17) Osage                  -2.03 *   28.03                      
 18 02/02/2010 Home    W *  82.62  68   55   2A   52 (14-10) Garner-Hayfield         0.51     12.49                      
 19 02/04/2010 Home    W *  79.80  62   50   1A   26 (12- 9) North Iowa             -2.30     14.30  was 01/26 now 02/04 
 20 02/05/2010 Away    W * 100.75  78   44   1A   40 (15- 9) Mason City Newman      18.64     15.36                      
 21 02/12/2010 Home    W *  68.40  64   51   2A  109 ( 9-14) Britt West Hancock    -13.70 *   26.70                      
 22 02/22/2010 Home    W    79.97  68   52   3A   53 ( 5-17) Clear Lake             -2.13     18.13                      
 23 02/25/2010 Neutral W    72.86  57   54   3A   44 (12-11) New Hampton            -9.25     12.25                      
 24 03/01/2010 Neutral W    84.28  64   55   3A   33 (12-11) Waverly-Shell Rock      2.17      6.83                      
 25 03/09/2010 Neutral L    63.15  50   85   3A    3 (22- 4) Pella                 -18.96    -16.04                      
      Averages              82.11  67.6 54.6

Best game:  114.94 = 58 point win over Belmond-Klemme
Worst game:  54.54 = 25 point loss to Algona
Team stdev:  12.51